Uncertainty tax: Why Vanguard bigwigs expect economic growth to slow in 2020
Erin Arvedlund, 11 July 2020
Vanguard’s top executives held a webcast Thursday evening addressing key factors that could affect the U.S. and global economies, trends to watch for in the financial markets, and what’s new for Vanguard clients in 2020.
“We’ve seen a significant rally last year, so for returns in bonds, we expect overall 2-2.5% over the next decade” annually, said chief investment officer Greg Davis on the one-hour program. For U.S. equities, Vanguard expects annual returns of slightly under 5% and international equities of 7.5% annually.
Vanguard investors “tend to be lighter in international equities than we would like,” said Vanguard chief executive Mortimer “Tim” Buckley, and the firm recommends rebalancing portfolios for those with big gains in U.S. equities.
